Why vote expectations are a better tool for predicting election results than vote intentions

The failure to predict the magnitude of the Conservative victories in 2015 (big) and 2017 (small) dealt a severe blow to the polling industry in the UK, which asked citizens who they intended to vote for. Should polls be forsaken, or is there an alternative to vote intentions? Drawing on a new study, Andreas Murr, Mary Stegmaier and Michael S. […]
Author: Artemis Photiadou | Source

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